Daily Price Outlook

- Consolidation Pattern: SPX is coiling inside a symmetrical triangle, awaiting a directional breakout.

- Support at 5,212: Price holding above trendline and horizontal support; critical for maintaining bullish bias.

- RSI Neutral: At 46.30, RSI suggests neither overbought nor oversold conditions, leaving room for either direction.

The S&P 500 is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, trading below its 50-period SMA, currently at 5,307. Price has formed a higher low at 5,212 and is hovering near trendline resistance. The structure suggests indecision, with traders watching closely for a breakout or breakdown confirmation.

The recent pullback from 5,345 has found support at the 5,212 demand zone, which aligns with a rising trendline from the April lows. This zone is reinforced by a prior consolidation area and offers a potential entry point for buyers, particularly if price holds above 5,212.

On the upside, a move toward 5,345 would test the upper boundary of the triangle, followed by the 5,404 level, which marks a key resistance zone from earlier this month. Momentum remains neutral. The RSI stands at 46.30, suggesting a wait-and-see attitude as markets digest recent macro data and earnings.

A breakdown below 5,212 could shift the short-term bias bearish, with downside potential extending toward 5,118 and 5,112. A confirmed bounce from 5,212, however, could provide the foundation for a breakout toward 5,404 and higher.

S&P 500 Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
S&P 500 Price Chart - Source: Tradingview

S&P 500 - Trade Ideas

Entry Price – Buy Limit 5212

Take Profit – 5404

Stop Loss – 5112

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.9

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1920/ -$1000

Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$192/ -$100

SPX

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