Daily Price Outlook

The GBP/USD pair has demonstrated a notable upward trajectory, now challenging the 1.2625 threshold. Its current posture above this level augments the prospects of further appreciation, laying the groundwork for an intraday bullish momentum. We anticipate a potential trajectory towards the 1.2725 region in the near future.

For the forthcoming trading sessions: A successful breach of the 1.2660 level could expedite the bullish momentum.

However, an inability to sustain above the 1.2625 mark might curb the anticipated rise, potentially reversing the trend to a decline.

Today's forecasted trading band is set between a support of 1.2560 and a resistance at 1.2725.

GBP/USD - Trade Idea

Entry Price – Buy Above 1.26088

Take Profit – 1.26741

Stop Loss – 1.25583

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.2

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$653/ -$505

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$65/ -$50

Daily Price Outlook

Upon examining the technical aspects of the S&P 500, it currently indicates fluctuations around the 4430 level. Analyzing the four-hour chart, the S&P 500 has rebounded from a significant support level of 4350. The manner in which the candles have closed suggests that the S&P 500 carries potential upside momentum.

It is nearing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level situated around 4440. Should the S&P 500 maintain its position above this level, it will likely encounter the next significant resistance at approximately 4475. Further upwards, another major resistance aligns with the 61.8% retracement level, amplified by a 61.8% extension. Conversely, if the S&P 500 drops below the 4400 level, subsequent support can be expected at 4450 and 4335.

The pivotal focus remains on the crucial support level of 4400, which is also today's pivot point. A stance above this level indicates a probable continuation of the bullish trend, while a position below may suggest further selling pressure.

S&P500 (SPX) - Trade Idea 

Entry Price – Buy Above 4400

Take Profit – 4470

Stop Loss – 4350

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.4

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$700/ -$500

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$70/ -$50

Daily Price Outlook

The EURUSD currency pair currently hovers around the 1.0785 mark. It's observed that the stochastic exhibits a measured waning of its bullish momentum, concurrently with the EMA50 exerting downward pressure on the pair.

Considering these indicators, there's a heightened propensity for the pair to revert to its overarching bearish trajectory, as delineated within the bearish channel depicted on the chart. A definitive breach below the current level could signal a trajectory towards the 1.0700 benchmark. Conversely, surpassing the 1.0835 threshold might catalyze intraday advancements, with a potential aim to approach the 1.0880 mark before any subsequent retracements.

For today, the anticipated trading range is set between the 1.0720 support and 1.0880 resistance levels.

EUR/USD - Trade Idea

Entry Price – Buy Above 1.08033

Take Profit – 1.08406

Stop Loss – 1.07726

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.2

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$373/ -$307

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$37/ -$30

Daily Price Outlook

Gold prices made an effort to surpass the $1913.15 mark, yet concluded last Friday's session above this threshold. This sustains our optimistic forecast, bolstered by the positive trajectory indicated by the stochastic, as well as the upward pressure provided by the EMA50. Our projected price milestones commence at $1929.00, extending up to $1945.20.

Conversely, it's pivotal to highlight that a dip below the $1913.15 mark could disrupt this bullish outlook, steering the price towards a renewed downtrend.

For today, the anticipated price fluctuation is predicted to oscillate between a support of $1900.00 and a resistance of $1935.00.

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Idea

Entry Price – Buy Above 1914

Take Profit – 1930

Stop Loss – 1905

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.7

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1600/ -$900

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$160/ -$90

Daily Price Outlook

The AUD/USD pair is demonstrating resilience around the 0.6400 juncture, initiating the session with an ascendant bias. It is attempting to distance itself from this benchmark, gearing up for a potential bullish surge with a tentative target in the vicinity of 0.6545.

Our analysis postulates a bullish orientation for today, corroborated by auspicious indications from the stochastic oscillator. Transcending the 0.6450 marker could further facilitate this upward trajectory. Conversely, any decline below the 0.6400 level might disrupt this bullish thesis, potentially reverting the pair to its prevailing bearish trend. For the day, we forecast a trading range delineated by a support level at 0.6380 and a resistance point at 0.6480.

AUD/USD - Trade Idea

Entry Price – Buy Above 0.64058

Take Profit – 0.64876

Stop Loss – 0.63575

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.7

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$818/ -$483

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$81/ -$48

Daily Price Outlook

The global market sentiment is cautious due to upcoming speeches by leading central bankers at the Jackson Hole Symposium. Meanwhile, the lack of key data in Asia and mixed feelings about major economies also contribute to the sluggish mood. As in result, the S&P500 Futures showed a slight drop around 4,385, while US 10-year Treasury bond yields bounce back from the weekly low, up by 2 basis points to 4.25% from the previous day's fall.

Global Market Sentiment Affected by Strong US Dollar and Concerns Over China

Furthermore, the broad-based US dollar hit an 11-week high, while Gold Price saw mild losses but is heading for its first weekly gain in five weeks. In the Asia-Pacific region, stocks followed Wall Street's downward trend, reflecting concerns about China. This was fueled by upbeat US Durable Goods Orders for July and robust mid-tier economic data, which kept the Federal Reserve in a hawkish stance, dampening market sentiment.

Moroever, the fading optimism about US-China relations added to worries as China's Commerce Ministry expressed concerns about trade matters and called for increased credit to businesses. Meanwhile, the prospect of US arms sales to Taiwan raised geopolitical tension ahead of the US Commerce Secretary's visit to Beijing.

Thus, this news has contributed to a cautious global market sentiment, with a stronger US dollar, concerns about China, and hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve all weighing on investor confidence, leading to a generally negative mood in financial markets.

Global Economic Factors and Central Bank Leaders in Focus

Apart from this, Japan has reported lower inflation figures, which are significantly below the Bank of Japan's target, challenging positive expectations. Despite positive PMI data, optimism wanes due to strong US data and central banks favoring prolonged higher interest rates.

Looking ahead, market focus turns to central bank leaders, particularly European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, whose remarks are likely to have a significant impact on financial markets. Their statements will be closely watched for insights into future monetary policies and their effects on global economies.

S&P500 (SPX) - Technical analysis

Examining the technical aspects of the S&P 500, it's evident that the index has encountered resistance around the 4450 level, leading to a consolidative phase. Looking ahead, the potential scenario for the S&P 500 involves a potential decline towards the next support level at 4339. This level gains significance from its previous role as support on August 18th.

Should the S&P 500 breach the aforementioned support, the subsequent support level is anticipated at 4460, followed by a deeper support around 4170. On the flip side, if the S&P 500 manages to overcome the 4450 level, it would likely encounter immediate resistance around 4525, with further resistance extending beyond that, targeting the 4600 level.

Simultaneously, observing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators, both indicators are situated within the sell zone. This, in conjunction with the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) also residing in the sell zone, suggests that the bearish momentum remains robust.

Given this analysis, it's prudent to focus on the 4450 level. A break below this level could trigger selling positions, particularly considering the significant distance from this point. Additionally, keeping an eye on the psychological resistance level of 4400 is recommended, as breaching this level could potentially push the S&P 500 further downwards, targeting the 4339 level. Further developments should be closely monitored, especially if a break below 4339 occurs, as this could lead to a subsequent target of 4265.

Daily Price Outlook

Examining the technical aspects of the S&P 500, it's evident that the index has encountered resistance around the 4450 level, leading to a consolidative phase. Looking ahead, the potential scenario for the S&P 500 involves a potential decline towards the next support level at 4339. This level gains significance from its previous role as support on August 18th.

Should the S&P 500 breach the aforementioned support, the subsequent support level is anticipated at 4460, followed by a deeper support around 4170. On the flip side, if the S&P 500 manages to overcome the 4450 level, it would likely encounter immediate resistance around 4525, with further resistance extending beyond that, targeting the 4600 level.

Simultaneously, observing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicators, both indicators are situated within the sell zone. This, in conjunction with the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) also residing in the sell zone, suggests that the bearish momentum remains robust.

Given this analysis, it's prudent to focus on the 4450 level. A break below this level could trigger selling positions, particularly considering the significant distance from this point. Additionally, keeping an eye on the psychological resistance level of 4400 is recommended, as breaching this level could potentially push the S&P 500 further downwards, targeting the 4339 level. Further developments should be closely monitored, especially if a break below 4339 occurs, as this could lead to a subsequent target of 4265.

S&P500 (SPX) - Trade Idea 

Entry Price – Sell Below 4403

Take Profit – 4336

Stop Loss – 4468

Risk to Reward – 1: 1

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$670/ -$650

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$67/ -$65

Daily Price Outlook

The price of gold is currently experiencing a downward movement, testing the critical support level at $1,913.15. This decline is influenced by the negative reading on the stochastic indicator. It's worth noting that the stochastic indicator is gradually showing signs of positive momentum, which could potentially serve as a catalyst for the resumption of the bullish trend. The immediate targets for this upward movement are set at $1,929.00 and $1,945.20.

As a result, the scenario of a bullish trend remains in play. It's important to highlight that a breach below $1,913.15 would invalidate the anticipated upward movement and potentially lead to further price declines. The expected trading range for the current session is anticipated to be between the support level of $1,900.00 and the resistance level of $1,930.00.

GOLD (XAU/USD) - Trade Idea

Entry Price – Sell Below 1919

Take Profit – 1905

Stop Loss – 1930

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.27

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1400/ -$1100

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$140/ -$110

Daily Price Outlook

The USD/JPY pair experienced a notable upward surge in the previous session, surpassing the 145.00 mark and currently reaching the 146.00 barrier. This movement has effectively halted the corrective bearish scenario, revitalizing the prospect of the primary bullish trend. The focus now shifts towards testing the recently established peak at 146.55, marking a forthcoming target. It is worth highlighting that a successful breach of this level would propel the price further, aiming for extended gains at 147.00 followed by 147.90.

Hence, the prevailing sentiment remains inclined towards a bullish bias today. However, it's crucial to acknowledge that a failure to surpass the 146.25 threshold could prompt a decline. This scenario could materialize after the formation of a third lower high, potentially guiding the price back to the corrective bearish trajectory.

The projected trading range for the current session is bounded by the support level at 145.30 and the resistance at 147.00.

Overall, the anticipated trend for today is bullish, but bearish below 146.500.

USD/JPY - Trade Idea

Entry Price – Sell Below 146.436

Take Profit – 145.524

Stop Loss – 146.836

Risk to Reward – 1: 2.2

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$912/ -$400

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$91/ -$40

Daily Price Outlook

The GBP/USD currency pair has encountered robust support at the 1.2625 level, prompting a substantial upward rebound that led to a robust test of the pivotal resistance at 1.2725. It's worth noting that the stochastic indicator is displaying evident signs of waning positive momentum, while the EMA50 is exerting downward pressure on the price movement.

Considering these factors, we hold the view that the conditions are conducive for a resumption of bearish trading dynamics in the forthcoming trading sessions. The initial targets in this projection involve a retest of the 1.2625 level. It is important to acknowledge that breaching the 1.2725 resistance level would invalidate the bearish scenario, potentially initiating a reversal towards higher price levels.

The projected trading range for the current day spans from the support level of 1.2620 to the resistance level of 1.2780. The prevailing trend for today is anticipated to lean towards the bearish side.

GBP/USD - Trade Idea

Entry Price – Sell Below 1.27292

Take Profit – 1.26658

Stop Loss – 1.27701

Risk to Reward – 1: 1.5

Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$634/ -$409

Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$63/ -$40