Technical Analysis

S&P500 (SPX) Price Analysis – Nov 17, 2023

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Nov 17, 2023
Spx

Daily Price Outlook

The global market sentiment has maintained its bullish momentum, showing positive signals throughout the day. On Friday, the Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 equity index continued its upward trend, extending gains beyond 4,535 and is now poised for consolidation. However, this positive movement can be attributed to various factors. Wall Street is poised to conclude the week with gains, with the S&P 500 registering solid increases above the 4,500 mark.

Economic Indicators Point to Shifting Markets: Dovish Fed Signals, Inflation Concerns, and Global Impact on S&P 500

It's worth noting that traders are feeling uncertain about more interest rate hikes due to cautious statements from US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Recent reports show the US inflation rate was slower than expected, with October's Consumer Price Index staying the same. The job market also seems to be cooling, as initial jobless claims increased. This data is strengthening the idea that the Federal Reserve is done raising rates, leading to belief about possible rate cuts in early 2024. This speculation is keeping the yield on the 10-year US government bond low.

Moreover, China's housing market is facing challenges with a drop in the House Price Index, but there's some positive news with growth in Industrial Production and Retail Sales. All these factors might create uncertainty in the global market, especially impacting the Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 equity index.

US-China Diplomatic Talks: Potential Impact on Global Markets and S&P 500

Furthermore, the meeting between President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping has led to a promise to improve their shaky relationship and reopen military communication. President Xi urged the US to stop providing weapons to Taiwan and back what China calls a 'peaceful reunification' with Taiwan. He also requested the US to lift sanctions and ensure a fair playing field for Chinese companies. The aim is to foster a more cooperative and understanding environment between the two nations.

Consequently, this information could extremely impact global market sentiment. If tensions between the US and China can be eased, it has the potential to positively influence investor confidence, thereby contributing to overall market stability.

S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

S&P500 (SPX) - Technical Analysis

In the equity markets, the S&P 500's subtle climb to 4508.23, marking a 0.12% increase, belies the undercurrents of a potential bullish shift. The index’s movement suggests a poised stance as it teeters just below a pivot point at $4,516. If the index sustains this momentum, it could test immediate resistance at $4,563, with further headroom up to $4,614. Conversely, support levels at $4,442 and $4,391 provide a safety net against any downward pressure.

Technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), currently at an elevated 76, point to overbought conditions, which typically call for caution amongst traders looking for sustained growth. Yet, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reading of 9 implies that the recent bullish crossover could instill confidence for further upside potential, as long as the index remains above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average of $4,356.

The S&P 500's chart pattern, having broken out of a downward channel, suggests a robust buying interest that may set the stage for continued growth. This pattern break could be a harbinger of a stronger bullish trend if the index maintains above the identified support level.

In summary, while the market's optimism is cautiously justified with the S&P 500 holding above critical support levels, the overbought RSI warrants vigilance. Traders will closely monitor whether the index can breach and sustain above subsequent resistance levels, which would confirm the bullish trend for the short term. The current technical outlook implies a test of higher resistances may be forthcoming, barring any sudden shifts in market sentiment or economic conditions.

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    S&P500 (SPX) Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

    By LHFX Technical Analysis
    Nov 10, 2023
    Spx

    Daily Price Outlook

      Analyzing the S&P 500's current technical position reveals a market at a crossroads, encapsulated by its recent price action. At present, the index is stationed around 4,347.36, reflecting a modest retreat within the last 24 hours. This level is crucial as it forms a pivot in the near-term market narrative.

      The chart, set on a 4-hour time frame, lays out a battleground for the index's next directional push. Immediate resistance is charted at 4,398.81, with further barriers at 4,283.25 and a more significant ceiling at 4,516.82, which if overcome could signal a stronger bullish momentum. Conversely, the index finds immediate support at 4,301.64, followed by lower defenses at 4,218.90, and the psychologically important 4,000.77 level that could staunch any downward pressure.

      The Relative Strength Index (RSI), positioned at 59.09, indicates that while the index is not in overbought territory, there is some bullish sentiment at play. This reading suggests that the market is more optimistic than pessimistic, but not yet signaling a strong bullish conviction.

      The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is marked at 4,301.64, just beneath the current price, hinting at a potential support zone that bulls will aim to defend. Holding above this EMA could foster a short-term bullish bias, while slipping below could invite bearish sentiment.

      The chart pattern reveals a descending channel, which typically indicates a bearish trend. However, the index is currently testing the upper boundary of this channel. A decisive break above could reverse the bearish outlook and signify a trend shift.

      In conclusion, the overall trend for the S&P 500 shows tentative bullish signals, with the RSI above 50 and the index challenging the upper boundary of the descending channel. The short-term forecast suggests that if the index sustains its position above the 50 EMA and breaks through the immediate resistance, we could see it testing higher levels in the near future.

      Should it fail to breach the channel's upper limit, the index may retrace towards the support levels, especially the critical 4,000.77 point, which could confirm the bearish sentiment depicted by the descending channel pattern.

      S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
      S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

      S&P500 (SPX) - Trade Idea 

      Entry Price – Sell Below 4395

      Take Profit – 4280

      Stop Loss – 4465

      Risk to Reward – 1: 2

      Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1150/ -$7000

      Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$115/ -$70

      SPX

      Technical Analysis

      S&P500 (SPX) Price Analysis – Nov 10, 2023

      By LHFX Technical Analysis
      Nov 10, 2023
      Spx

      Daily Price Outlook

      Global market sentiment failed to stop its bearish trend and declined on Friday, as U.S. stocks ended the day on a lower note. This marked the end of the Nasdaq and S&P 500's longest winning streaks in two years. However, the reason for its downturn can be linked to the higher Treasury yields, triggered by statements from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.

      Therefore, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's statements, which resulted in higher Treasury yields, significantly impacted the global market, leading to a downturn and concluding the extended winning streaks of the Nasdaq and S&P 500.

      Impact of Jerome Powell's Remarks on Market Dynamics

      Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's remarks played a significant role in undermining market sentiment. His remarks about uncertainties in managing inflation and the potential for additional rate hikes prompted caution among investors. The market experienced a shift in sentiment as these factors influenced trading decisions. This marked the end of an extended period of positive momentum for the Nasdaq and S&P 500, underscoring the importance of economic indicators and central bank communication in guiding market trends.

      Powell expressed uncertainty regarding the sufficiency of current interest rates to control inflation, indicating a potential for further rate hikes. Consequently, there was a decline in stocks, with the Dow falling by 0.65%, the S&P 500 losing 0.81%, and the Nasdaq dropping 0.94%. Powell's hawkish stance implies a dedicated commitment to combatting inflation, contributing to market caution.

      Despite a recent robust rally, these declines represented the most significant one-day percentage drops since late October. Initially, traders were expecting unchanged rates in 2023, but Powell's comments altered expectations, with rate cuts now anticipated later in 2024. Furthermore, a Labor Department report indicated a slight decrease in jobless claims, reflecting a stable job market despite existing concerns.

      S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
      S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

      S&P500 (SPX) - Technical Analysis

      Analyzing the S&P 500's current technical position reveals a market at a crossroads, encapsulated by its recent price action. At present, the index is stationed around 4,347.36, reflecting a modest retreat within the last 24 hours. This level is crucial as it forms a pivot in the near-term market narrative.

      The chart, set on a 4-hour time frame, lays out a battleground for the index's next directional push. Immediate resistance is charted at 4,398.81, with further barriers at 4,283.25 and a more significant ceiling at 4,516.82, which if overcome could signal a stronger bullish momentum. Conversely, the index finds immediate support at 4,301.64, followed by lower defenses at 4,218.90, and the psychologically important 4,000.77 level that could staunch any downward pressure.

      The Relative Strength Index (RSI), positioned at 59.09, indicates that while the index is not in overbought territory, there is some bullish sentiment at play. This reading suggests that the market is more optimistic than pessimistic, but not yet signaling a strong bullish conviction.

      The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is marked at 4,301.64, just beneath the current price, hinting at a potential support zone that bulls will aim to defend. Holding above this EMA could foster a short-term bullish bias, while slipping below could invite bearish sentiment.

      The chart pattern reveals a descending channel, which typically indicates a bearish trend. However, the index is currently testing the upper boundary of this channel. A decisive break above could reverse the bearish outlook and signify a trend shift.

      In conclusion, the overall trend for the S&P 500 shows tentative bullish signals, with the RSI above 50 and the index challenging the upper boundary of the descending channel. The short-term forecast suggests that if the index sustains its position above the 50 EMA and breaks through the immediate resistance, we could see it testing higher levels in the near future.

      Should it fail to breach the channel's upper limit, the index may retrace towards the support levels, especially the critical 4,000.77 point, which could confirm the bearish sentiment depicted by the descending channel pattern.

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        S&P500 (SPX) Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

        By LHFX Technical Analysis
        Nov 3, 2023
        Spx

        Daily Price Outlook

          The S&P 500 index has exhibited a bullish momentum in recent trading sessions, closing at 4317.79, marking a 1.89% increase over the past 24 hours. The index has been hovering around the pivot point of $4,218, with immediate resistance at $4,317. If this upward trend continues, the next resistance levels to watch are $4,373 and $4,427. On the flip side, should a reversal occur, immediate support lies at $4,062, with subsequent levels at $4,005 and $3,907.

          From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 63, which indicates a slightly bullish sentiment without venturing into overbought territory. This suggests that there might be more room for the index to climb before encountering significant selling pressure.

          The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) also points to bullish signals, with the current value at $4,269. The index trading above its 50 EMA is indicative of a short-term bullish trend, reinforcing the current upward trajectory.

          Chart patterns further fortify the bullish sentiment, with a discernible upward channel forming over the past several weeks. This pattern, coupled with consistent bullish candlesticks, signals that the index is poised for continued growth. The absence of bearish reversal patterns in recent candlestick formations supports this projection.

          In conclusion, the overall trend for the S&P 500 is bullish, especially if it sustains above the critical level of $4,280. The confluence of technical indicators, chart patterns, and moving averages suggests that the index is likely to test higher resistance levels in the short term. Investors should keep an eye on the aforementioned support and resistance levels for potential entry and exit points.

          S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
          S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

          S&P500 (SPX) - Trade Idea 

          Entry Price – Buy Above 4280

          Take Profit – 4360

          Stop Loss – 4218

          Risk to Reward – 1: 1.29

          Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$800/ -$620

          Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$80/ -$62

          SPX

          Technical Analysis

          S&P500 (SPX) Price Analysis – Nov 03, 2023

          By LHFX Technical Analysis
          Nov 3, 2023
          Spx

          Daily Price Outlook

          The global market sentiment has continued to rise and remained strong throughout the day. This can be witnessed by the fact that the wall Street experienced a significant rally on Friday, largely driven by investor optimism about a potential resolution to the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes. Notably, the S&P 500 index surged by 1.8%, marking a 4.8% increase for the week. Therefore, thiis performance represents its strongest weekly showing in nearly a year.

          In the meantime, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq Composite also posted significant gains. However, this positive momentum was driven by the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates at their current levels, along with Chair Jerome Powell's comments suggesting a pause in rate hikes. Notably, the CME Group's FedWatch tool indicated an 83% probability that the Fed would indeed keep rates unchanged in December.

          Positive Economic Data and Its Impact on Market Sentiment

          It is important to note that the current ongoing rally was influenced by the recent positive economic data. Non-farm productivity growth in the third quarter reached a peak of 4.7%, marking the best performance since 2020. However, this uptick is attributed to a 5.9% increase in output and a 1.1% rise in hours worked. The surge in productivity has contributed to reducing unit labor costs, a key indicator for core inflation trends.

          As a result, the Federal Reserve is likely to be reassured by this third-quarter decline and may choose to stay on the sidelines, maintaining current policies. The upcoming payrolls report is crucial because an extreme result could affect market sentiment, potentially causing concerns about a recession.

          Economists anticipate about 180,000 new jobs, but data indicates a more robust job market with around 200,000 new jobs. Therefore, the focus should be on the Federal Reserve's reaction, and it's improbable they will alter their current position unless there's a substantial surge in inflation or a significant economic downturn. This represents a change in the Fed's impact on the market, which marks a departure from the past.

          Therefore, this positive economic news is expected to strengthen the S&P 500 index, supporting its upward trajectory by signaling potential stability in interest rates and core inflation, which, in turn, bolsters investor confidence.

          S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
          S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

          S&P500 (SPX) - Technical Analysis

          The S&P 500 index has exhibited a bullish momentum in recent trading sessions, closing at 4317.79, marking a 1.89% increase over the past 24 hours. The index has been hovering around the pivot point of $4,218, with immediate resistance at $4,317. If this upward trend continues, the next resistance levels to watch are $4,373 and $4,427. On the flip side, should a reversal occur, immediate support lies at $4,062, with subsequent levels at $4,005 and $3,907.

          From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 63, which indicates a slightly bullish sentiment without venturing into overbought territory. This suggests that there might be more room for the index to climb before encountering significant selling pressure.

          The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) also points to bullish signals, with the current value at $4,269. The index trading above its 50 EMA is indicative of a short-term bullish trend, reinforcing the current upward trajectory.

          Chart patterns further fortify the bullish sentiment, with a discernible upward channel forming over the past several weeks. This pattern, coupled with consistent bullish candlesticks, signals that the index is poised for continued growth. The absence of bearish reversal patterns in recent candlestick formations supports this projection.

          In conclusion, the overall trend for the S&P 500 is bullish, especially if it sustains above the critical level of $4,280. The confluence of technical indicators, chart patterns, and moving averages suggests that the index is likely to test higher resistance levels in the short term. Investors should keep an eye on the aforementioned support and resistance levels for potential entry and exit points.

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            S&P500 (SPX) Price Analysis – Oct 27, 2023

            By LHFX Technical Analysis
            Oct 27, 2023
            S&p500

            Daily Price Outlook

            Despite the robust U.S. growth figures, the global market sentiment has failed to turn positive, and it continues to show negative trends on Friday. Specifically, U.S. markets are facing a downturn, with the S&P 500 falling below 4,200 points after experiencing its worst one-day drop on the Nasdaq since February. However, this decline mirrors the performance of the European markets, as the STOXX 600 index has dropped by 1% and is hovering near a seven-month low, just ahead of the European Central Bank's (ECB) policy decision scheduled for Thursday.

            Strong US Economic Data Supports Higher Interest Rates and Market Sentiment

            Notably, the S&P 500 experienced a significant 2% drop on Thursday, just ahead of Fed Chair Powell's latest speech. Many people are awaiting guidance from the Federal Reserve Chair regarding the bank's potential actions at the upcoming meeting. It's anticipated that the Fed will maintain the current interest rates at 5.5% next week, despite the sustained strength of the U.S. economy. Furthermore, given the current impact of tensions in the Middle East, Powell may be inclined to provide reassurances about price stability. As of the time of this writing, the S&P 500 was trading 1.18% lower.

            Although, the losses in the Standard & Poor's 500 major equity index might turn out to be short-lived, thanks to the strong U.S. growth figures that support the argument for prolonged higher interest rates. It is worth noting that the recent data revealed that the U.S. economy experienced its fastest expansion in almost two years during the third quarter. This growth was fueled by increased wages resulting from a tight labor market, which, in turn, boosted consumer spending.

            Hence, this has heightened expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue to keep monetary conditions restrictive for an extended duration, leading to a rise in the dollar against various currencies.

            Strong US Economic Data Supports Higher Interest Rates and Market Sentiment

            On the economic data front, the US economy expanded by 4.9% in the third quarter, driven by robust consumer spending, surpassing expectations of 4.5%. Furthermore, there was a notable 4.7% increase in September in U.S. Durable Goods Orders, representing the most substantial rise since July 2020. Meanwhile, recent macroeconomic data from the U.S. continues to underscore the resilience of the economy, despite previous warnings of an impending recession.

            Therefore, this economic strength should empower the Federal Reserve to sustain higher interest rates, subsequently offering support to market sentiment and acting as a favorable factor for the Standard & Poor's 500 major equity index.

            S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
            S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

            S&P500 (SPX) - Technical Analysis

            On October 27, the S&P500 exhibited a noticeable descent, settling at 4137.22, marking a reduction of 1.18% within a 24-hour span. When referring to the 4-hour chart, it’s clear that this benchmark index is currently wrestling with significant resistance and support levels. The pivot point, a crucial metric that traders often rely on to gauge potential price movement, stands firm at 4201. Immediate resistance is perceived at 4278, with subsequent levels at 4340 and 4399. On the converse, the immediate support is close to the day's low at 4131, with further supports expected at 4059 and a significant level at 4002.

            Diving deeper into the technical indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, is currently at 28. This figure suggests an oversold condition, indicating potential upward price movement in the near term as the market could be due for a corrective bounce. However, one must also consider the broader trend, and currently, the price is trending below the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA50) of 4299. This is a classic bearish signal, suggesting a prevailing short-term downtrend.

            When evaluating chart patterns, which are fundamental tools for traders, no definitive patterns are immediately discernible. However, it's essential to observe that the S&P500's current price levels are teetering close to significant support and resistance zones. This typically indicates that the market is at a crossroads, and traders should be on the lookout for potential breakouts or breakdowns.

            In summary, the prevailing trend for the S&P500 is bearish, especially when the price is below the pivotal level of $4170. However, the RSI indicates potential oversold conditions, suggesting that a short-term rebound might be on the horizon. Traders and investors should keep a close eye on these key levels and indicators to gauge the market's next move.

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              S&P500 (SPX) Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

              By LHFX Technical Analysis
              Oct 27, 2023
              S&p500

              Daily Price Outlook

                On October 27, the S&P500 exhibited a noticeable descent, settling at 4137.22, marking a reduction of 1.18% within a 24-hour span. When referring to the 4-hour chart, it’s clear that this benchmark index is currently wrestling with significant resistance and support levels. The pivot point, a crucial metric that traders often rely on to gauge potential price movement, stands firm at 4201. Immediate resistance is perceived at 4278, with subsequent levels at 4340 and 4399. On the converse, the immediate support is close to the day's low at 4131, with further supports expected at 4059 and a significant level at 4002.

                Diving deeper into the technical indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, is currently at 28. This figure suggests an oversold condition, indicating potential upward price movement in the near term as the market could be due for a corrective bounce. However, one must also consider the broader trend, and currently, the price is trending below the 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA50) of 4299. This is a classic bearish signal, suggesting a prevailing short-term downtrend.

                When evaluating chart patterns, which are fundamental tools for traders, no definitive patterns are immediately discernible. However, it's essential to observe that the S&P500's current price levels are teetering close to significant support and resistance zones. This typically indicates that the market is at a crossroads, and traders should be on the lookout for potential breakouts or breakdowns.

                In summary, the prevailing trend for the S&P500 is bearish, especially when the price is below the pivotal level of $4170. However, the RSI indicates potential oversold conditions, suggesting that a short-term rebound might be on the horizon. Traders and investors should keep a close eye on these key levels and indicators to gauge the market's next move.

                S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
                S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

                S&P500 (SPX) - Trade Idea 

                Entry Price – Sell Limit 4170

                Take Profit – 4055

                Stop Loss – 4255

                Risk to Reward – 1: 1.3

                Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$115/ -$425

                SPX

                Daily Trade Ideas

                S&P500 (SPX) Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

                By LHFX Technical Analysis
                Oct 20, 2023
                S&p500

                Daily Price Outlook

                  The S&P 500 Index (SPX) begins its session at 4277.99, suffering a decline of 1.06% in the past 24 hours. Analyzing its price activity on a 4-hour chart provides key levels that traders should keep an eye on. The pivot point is detected at $4,369, acting as a pivotal juncture for the asset's next movements. For traders looking towards an optimistic turn, immediate resistance looms at $4,404, followed by subsequent barriers at $4,451 and $4,502. Conversely, any downside moves would encounter immediate support at $4,288, with further cushions at $4,216 and $4,172.

                  When it comes to the technical indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) records a value of 39. This is an indication of a prevailing bearish sentiment, given that any value below 50 is considered as such. Delving into the MACD, the main line has nosedived below its signal counterpart, standing at -5.040 relative to the signal's -0.5900. This formation underscores a potential bearish momentum in the offing. Further accentuating the bearish tones, the price currently trades below the 50 EMA, which stands at $4,346, signifying a short-term bearish trend.

                  Presently, no distinct chart patterns have manifested to provide further directional clues. However, this can rapidly change as the market evolves.

                  In synthesis, the SPX is demonstrating a bearish inclination, especially if it remains below the 4319 mark. Conversely, climbing above could indicate a potential shift in market sentiment. In the immediate timeframe, we might anticipate the SPX to gravitate towards testing the resistance at $4,404, with breaches or rebounds here crucial for subsequent price actions.

                  S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
                  S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

                  S&P500 (SPX) - Trade Idea 

                  Entry Price – Sell Limit 4319.00

                  Take Profit – 4218.00

                  Stop Loss – 4393.00

                  Risk to Reward – 1: 1.3

                  Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1010/ -$740

                  Profit & Loss Per Micro Lot = +$101/ -$74

                  SPX

                  Technical Analysis

                  S&P500 (SPX) Price Analysis – Oct 20, 2023

                  By LHFX Technical Analysis
                  Oct 20, 2023
                  S&p500

                  Daily Price Outlook

                  The global market sentiment has continued its bearish performance, displaying mixed signals throughout the day. On Thursday, the Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 equity index fell by 36.60 points, closing down 0.85% at $4,278. This downward trend can be attributed to several factors, with one notable element being the disappointment among stock traders.

                  Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell failed to meet the dovish expectations regarding the Fed's rate outlook. Powell's inability to provide a more accommodating stance on interest rates has left investors uncertain, potentially resulting in increased volatility in the S&P 500.

                  Meanwhile, Israeli airstrikes in the Gaza Strip have heightened tensions in the region. Moreover, Israel has initiated missile strikes in Lebanon and Syria, while Egypt has also been impacted by the conflict, notably with the bombing of the Rafah border crossing. Therefore, the news of escalating tensions in the Middle East, marked by Israeli airstrikes and regional conflict, introduces uncertainty that could potentially have a negative impact on the S&P 500.

                  Fed Chair's Cautious Remarks and Market Expectations

                  It's worth noting that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gave somewhat cautious comments while speaking at the Economic Club of New York. He mentioned that the Fed's policies are still somewhat strict, but they're ready to take action if inflation starts to rise again. These statements surprised investors, as they were hoping for a more clearly dovish stance from the Fed.

                  Notably, markets are currently indicating a 97% probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged at their next meeting. However, Wall Street is anticipating any hints that the central bank might accelerate future rate cuts, currently projected for the latter half of 2024.

                  Market Performance: Dow Jones and NASDAQ Decline

                  In the U.S. stock market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) fell by 250.91 points, representing a 0.75% decrease, and closed at $33,414.17. At the same time, the tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite saw a nearly 1% drop, with a loss of 128.13 points, ending the day at $13,186.18, marking a 0.96% decrease.

                  S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
                  S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

                  S&P500 (SPX) - Technical Analysis

                  The S&P 500 Index (SPX) begins its session at 4277.99, suffering a decline of 1.06% in the past 24 hours. Analyzing its price activity on a 4-hour chart provides key levels that traders should keep an eye on. The pivot point is detected at $4,369, acting as a pivotal juncture for the asset's next movements. For traders looking towards an optimistic turn, immediate resistance looms at $4,404, followed by subsequent barriers at $4,451 and $4,502. Conversely, any downside moves would encounter immediate support at $4,288, with further cushions at $4,216 and $4,172.

                  When it comes to the technical indicators, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) records a value of 39. This is an indication of a prevailing bearish sentiment, given that any value below 50 is considered as such. Delving into the MACD, the main line has nosedived below its signal counterpart, standing at -5.040 relative to the signal's -0.5900. This formation underscores a potential bearish momentum in the offing. Further accentuating the bearish tones, the price currently trades below the 50 EMA, which stands at $4,346, signifying a short-term bearish trend.

                  Presently, no distinct chart patterns have manifested to provide further directional clues. However, this can rapidly change as the market evolves.

                  In synthesis, the SPX is demonstrating a bearish inclination, especially if it remains below the 4319 mark. Conversely, climbing above could indicate a potential shift in market sentiment. In the immediate timeframe, we might anticipate the SPX to gravitate towards testing the resistance at $4,404, with breaches or rebounds here crucial for subsequent price actions.

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                    S&P500 (SPX) Price Analysis – Oct 13, 2023

                    By LHFX Technical Analysis
                    Oct 13, 2023
                    S&p500

                    Daily Price Outlook

                    The global market sentiment has been flashing mixed signals and remained under pressure on the day. This can be witnessed by the Standard & Poor's 500 stock index, which experienced a significant drop on the day. However, this decline was mainly driven by the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which exceeded the predictions of experts.

                    It's important to understand that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a way to track how much the prices of everyday items are going up. In September, the CPI showed an annual increase of 3.7%. This number was about the same as the previous month, but it was a bit higher than what the market was hoping for, as they expected a smaller increase of 3.6%.

                    Hence, this unexpected increase in prices shook the stock market because it suggests that inflation is still a concern. This can reduce the value of money and worry investors. That's why the stock market moved down. This shows that the stock market is easily affected by economic data.

                    Hence, investors are closely monitoring these figures because they have the potential to influence the government's financial injections into the economy and the possible adjustments in interest rates. These, in turn, have an impact on the stock market.

                    Furthermore, the ongoing conflicts between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group, Hamas, have significantly influenced global stock markets.

                    Inflation Concerns and Their Impact on the Financial Market

                    It is worth mentioning that recent reports suggest that the United States is currently facing unexpectedly high inflation rates, which poses a significant economic challenge. As a result, the Federal Reserve is considering the possibility of keeping interest rates higher for an extended period in an effort to control the growing inflation.

                    This situation has negatively impacted the stock market, leading to a drop in stock prices, although the US dollar remains strong. Looking ahead, market experts are speculating that the Federal Reserve might think about slightly lowering interest rates in 2024, but this could change because inflation is still going up. This situation shows that the financial world is complicated, and investors need to be watchful and ready to change their strategies based on economic news, government policies, and global market reactions.

                    S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
                    S&P500 (SPX) Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

                    S&P500 (SPX) - Technical Analysis

                    On October 13, the S&P500 (SPX) stands at 4340, experiencing a decrease of 0.62% within the last 24 hours. This observation is based on a 4-hour chart timeframe.

                    The pivot point for the index is pinpointed at 4357. Several significant resistance and support levels emerge around this pivot.

                    The immediate resistance is located at 4399, followed by subsequent resistances at 4447 and 4504. Should the index retract, immediate support might be felt at 4331, with the potential for steeper declines towards the support levels at 4287 and 4214.

                    Analyzing the technical indicators offers further insights. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 54. An RSI value greater than 50 traditionally indicates bullish sentiment, suggesting a slightly positive momentum for the index.

                    In conclusion, the overall trend for the S&P500 (SPX) leans bearish, especially if the price sustains below the 4357 mark. On the flip side, surpassing this level could tilt the sentiment to bullish.

                    For short-term maneuvers, traders and investors should anticipate the index's movements around these delineated levels, especially with a potential test of the 4399 resistance in the forthcoming sessions.

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