Technical Analysis

USD/CAD Price Analysis – Dec 19, 2023

By LHFX Technical Analysis
Dec 19, 2023
Usdcad

Daily Price Outlook

Despite the dovish remarks by the Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Tiff Macklem and the modest US Dollar (USD) uptick, the USD/CAD currency pair failed to stop its losing streak and remained well offered around below the 1.3390 level. However, the reason for its downward trend could be attributed to the recent goodish recovery in Crude Oil prices, which tends to underpin the commodity-linked Loonie and contributes to the USD/CAD currency pair.

Bank of Canada's Rate Cut Hints and Market Impact

It's worth noting that the Bank of Canada's Governor, Tiff Macklem, recently hinted at the possibility of lowering interest rates in 2024. This news has softened the potential downsides in the USD/CAD pair. People in the market quickly reacted, expecting rate cuts to begin around April, with a total cut of at least 1% by the end of next year. This, in turn, is likely to support the USD/CAD pair. Although, the upticks were short-lived and temporary amid the recent recovery in Crude Oil prices, which usually benefits the Canadian Dollar linked to commodities.

US Dollar Outlook and Fed Presidents' Views on Rate Cuts

Furthermore, Chicago Federal Reserve (Fed) President Austan Goolsbee and Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester recently disagreed with the market's predictions of early interest rate cuts. This follows New York Fed President John Williams's statement on Friday that it's too early to talk about rate cuts. Moreover, the geopolitical risks are boosting the USD's safe-haven status against the Canadian Dollar. Traders are cautious about making big bets on the USD/CAD pair and are waiting for the latest consumer inflation figures from Canada for clearer direction later in the North American session.

Thus, the mixed views from Fed officials on early rate cuts and geopolitical risks favoring the USD's safe-haven status against the Canadian Dollar are making USD/CAD traders cautious. They're awaiting Canada's consumer inflation figures for clearer direction.

USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

USD/CAD - Technical Analysis

The USD/CAD pair on December 19th exhibits a subtle yet complex trading pattern in the forex market. Currently, it records a marginal decline of 0.05%, trading at 1.3393. This level of trading activity indicates a cautious market sentiment towards the currency pair.

Analyzing the 4-hour chart, the pivot point is established at 1.3180. The pair faces immediate resistance at 1.3277, with further resistance expected at 1.3450 and 1.3550. On the other hand, support levels are found at 1.3012, followed by 1.2847 and 1.2670. These key price levels will be critical in dictating the near-term trajectory of the USD/CAD pair.

The technical indicators provide a nuanced view of the pair's potential direction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 38, suggesting a bearish sentiment as it falls below the neutral 50 threshold. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) presents a value of 0.00062 against a signal line of -0.00373, hinting at possible upward momentum. This contrast in indicators underscores the current market uncertainty.

The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3391 closely aligns with the current trading price, indicating a balanced market outlook. Notably, the Loonie has entered an oversold zone, and the closing of candles over the $1.3350 level could pivot the pair towards a bullish bias today.

In conclusion, the overall trend for the USD/CAD pair appears to be bullish above the 1.3390 level. The short-term forecast suggests that the pair may test higher resistance levels in the upcoming sessions, particularly if it sustains above the critical EMA and support points. Investors and traders should closely monitor these technical indicators and key levels for insights into potential market shifts.

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    USD/CAD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

    By LHFX Technical Analysis
    Dec 12, 2023
    Usdcad

    Daily Price Outlook

    - The USD/CAD pair shows a bearish trend, currently trading at 1.35585 with a 0.12% decrease, facing immediate resistance at 1.3561.

    - Technical indicators like RSI at 41 and MACD below its signal line suggest a potential downward momentum.

    - Key support at 1.3570 and resistance levels up to 1.3701 are pivotal for determining the pair's short-term direction.

    As of December 12, the USD/CAD currency pair is exhibiting a minor downward trend in the Forex market, currently trading at 1.35585, a decrease of 0.12%. Analyzing the 4-hour chart provides a nuanced view of its short-term movements and potential pivot points.

    In terms of key price levels, the USD/CAD pair faces immediate resistance at 1.3561. Overcoming this level could lead the pair to test further resistance at 1.3644 and potentially at 1.3701. Conversely, support levels are observed at 1.3781, 1.3504, and 1.3421. These levels will be critical in determining whether the pair can sustain its current momentum or if a reversal is imminent.

    From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 41, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market. This level suggests that the pair is neither in the overbought nor the oversold territory but leans towards a bearish inclination. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a value of -0.0004 with a signal line at 0.00014. The MACD line's position below the signal line hints at potential downward momentum for the USD/CAD pair, reinforcing the bearish sentiment indicated by the RSI.

    The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for the pair is currently at 1.3576. Given that the pair's price is hovering below the 50 EMA, it signifies a short-term bearish trend. Furthermore, the chart reveals a downward channel keeping the USD/CAD pair bearish, especially below the 1.3570 support zone. A consistent close below this level could trigger further selling interest in the Canadian Dollar.

    In conclusion, the overall trend for the USD/CAD pair appears bearish, particularly if it maintains below the critical 1.3570 level.

    USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
    USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

    USD/CAD - Trade Idea 

    Entry Price – Sell Below 1.3570

    Take Profit – 1.3510

    Stop Loss – 1.3621

    Risk to Reward – 1: 1.2

    Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$606/ -$505

    Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$60/ -$50

    USD /CAD

    Technical Analysis

    USD/CAD Price Analysis – Dec 12, 2023

    By LHFX Technical Analysis
    Dec 12, 2023
    Usdcad

    Daily Price Outlook

    During the European session on Tuesday, the USD/CAD currency pair is failed to stop its three-day losing streak and remained well offered around 1.3560 mark. However, this decline could be associated with the bearish US dollar. The US Dollar Index (DXY) turns negative following two days of gains. Additionally, crude oil prices are holding steady after a three-day winning streak. This stability could be supportive for the Canadian Dollar (CAD) and contributes to the declines in the USD/CAD pair. However, the positive sentiment in WTI prices is driven by confidence in the resilience of the US economy.

    WTI Trades Bullish Amid Economic Resilience and Lingering Challenges

    It is worth noting that West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is trading around $71.70 per barrel on Tuesday. The recent uptick in oil prices comes after last week's data release, indicating a certain resilience in the United States (US) economy.

    However, there are potential challenges for crude oil prices including ongoing concerns about global demand, especially with weaker economic data from China, the world's largest oil importer, and other major economies, which could affect prices. In the meantime, worries persist about oversupply, despite efforts by OPEC+ members to cut production. These factors might put pressure on oil prices in the near term and may help the USD/CAD pair to limit its deeper losses.

    USD Index Declines, FOMC Meeting Underway, and BoC Governor's Address Awaited

    The US Dollar Index (DXY) is going down and staying below 104.00. This is happening despite stable US Treasury yields. The dollar got a temporary boost from good job numbers in the US. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is starting a two-day meeting on Tuesday. Most people expect that interest rates will remain unchanged. Investors will pay close attention to the FOMC statement for hints about possible rate changes next year.

    Looking at Canada, it's important to note that Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Tiff Macklem is scheduled to speak on Friday. People in the market will be paying close attention, hoping to gain insights or comments about how the Canadian economy is doing and any potential changes in monetary policy.

    USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
    USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

    USD/CAD - Technical Analysis

    As of December 12, the USD/CAD currency pair is exhibiting a minor downward trend in the Forex market, currently trading at 1.35585, a decrease of 0.12%. Analyzing the 4-hour chart provides a nuanced view of its short-term movements and potential pivot points.

    In terms of key price levels, the USD/CAD pair faces immediate resistance at 1.3561. Overcoming this level could lead the pair to test further resistance at 1.3644 and potentially at 1.3701. Conversely, support levels are observed at 1.3781, 1.3504, and 1.3421. These levels will be critical in determining whether the pair can sustain its current momentum or if a reversal is imminent.

    From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 41, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market. This level suggests that the pair is neither in the overbought nor the oversold territory but leans towards a bearish inclination. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a value of -0.0004 with a signal line at 0.00014. The MACD line's position below the signal line hints at potential downward momentum for the USD/CAD pair, reinforcing the bearish sentiment indicated by the RSI.

    The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for the pair is currently at 1.3576. Given that the pair's price is hovering below the 50 EMA, it signifies a short-term bearish trend. Furthermore, the chart reveals a downward channel keeping the USD/CAD pair bearish, especially below the 1.3570 support zone. A consistent close below this level could trigger further selling interest in the Canadian Dollar.

    In conclusion, the overall trend for the USD/CAD pair appears bearish, particularly if it maintains below the critical 1.3570 level.

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      USD/CAD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

      By LHFX Technical Analysis
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      Usdcad

      Daily Price Outlook

      - USD/CAD climbs slightly to 1.35, indicating mild bullish undertones.

      - RSI at 49 signals market indecision; trend direction pending.

      - Potential resistance ahead at $1.3640; support lies at $1.3480.

      The USD/CAD pairing modestly ascended by 0.15%, positioning the pair at 1.35. This uptick marks a cautious optimism in the currency market as traders navigate through key technical junctures.

      Technical analysis reveals that the currency pair is grappling with a pivot point at $1.3550. Should the bullish sentiment persist, the loonie could face resistance at $1.3640, with the possibility of extending gains towards $1.3720 and even $1.3765. Conversely, a shift in market dynamics could see the pair seek support at lower echelons, with $1.3480, $1.3395, and $1.3350 acting as potential cushions against further downside.

      The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers at the midpoint of 49, a reflection of the market's indecision, perched on the brink of a directional bias. While not in the overbought or oversold regions, the RSI's proximity to the 50 mark leaves room for a swing in either direction based on forthcoming market stimuli.

      The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $1.3590, a beacon for the pair's short-term trajectory. Currently, the price’s position below the EMA leans towards a bearish outlook, yet the close margin allows for a quick shift should market sentiment change.

      Chart patterns have yet to signal a definitive trend, with the absence of a clear symmetrical triangle or upward channel formation. Such patterns could indicate potential bullish momentum, yet their absence leaves the future uncertain.

      In conclusion, the USD/CAD’s movement suggests a bearish tilt as long as the price action stays below the 1.3570 threshold. The near-term forecast will hinge on whether the pair can surpass this level, with resistance tests anticipated in the upcoming trading sessions.

       USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
       USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

      USD/CAD - Trade Ideas

      Entry Price – Sell Below 1.3570

      Take Profit – 1.34744

      Stop Loss – 1.36193

      Risk to Reward – 1: 1.9

      Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$956/ -$493

      Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$95/ -$49

      USD /CAD

      Technical Analysis

      USD/CAD Price Analysis – Dec 05, 2023

      By LHFX Technical Analysis
      Dec 5, 2023
      Usdcad

      Daily Price Outlook

      The USD/CAD currency pair maintained its upward trend and gained positive traction around above mid-1.3500s for the second successive day on Tuesday. However, the upward trend in the pair was supported by the downward pressure on Crude Oil prices. Simultaneously, a risk-off sentiment in the market favored the safe-haven USD, further contributing to the upward momentum in the USD/CAD pair.

      Factors Pressuring the Canadian Dollar

      It's worth noting that Investors are unsure if OPEC+ supply cuts will help much because of a gloomy global economy, which is expected to lower the demand for fuel. This is pushing oil prices back down, nearing the low seen in November. As a result, the Canadian Dollar (Loonie) linked to commodity prices is weakening, providing some support to the USD/CAD pair.

      In the meantime, the anticipation that the Bank of Canada (BoC) might start cutting interest rates in the second quarter of 2024 also weighing on the Canadian Dollar and contributing to the gains in the USD/CAD pair.

      Factors Influencing USD/CAD Pair Amid Global Uncertainty and Fed Caution

      Another factor boosting the USD/CAD pair is the global preference for the US Dollar during uncertain times. However, the Federal Reserve's cautious stance is limiting the USD's potential gains. Many believe that US interest rates have peaked, and the Fed might start easing its monetary policy by March 2024. This belief is causing US Treasury bond yields to drop, restraining aggressive bets on the USD.

      Consequently, this could prevent any significant upward movement in the USD/CAD pair, as traders remain cautious amid the dovish outlook for the Fed's future actions.

      Looking forward, traders are now eyeing key US economic data, including ISM Services PMI and JOLTS Job Openings, along with US bond yields and overall market sentiment, to gauge USD demand.

       USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
       USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

      USD/CAD - Technical Analysis

      The USD/CAD pairing modestly ascended by 0.15%, positioning the pair at 1.35. This uptick marks a cautious optimism in the currency market as traders navigate through key technical junctures.

      Technical analysis reveals that the currency pair is grappling with a pivot point at $1.3550. Should the bullish sentiment persist, the loonie could face resistance at $1.3640, with the possibility of extending gains towards $1.3720 and even $1.3765. Conversely, a shift in market dynamics could see the pair seek support at lower echelons, with $1.3480, $1.3395, and $1.3350 acting as potential cushions against further downside.

      The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers at the midpoint of 49, a reflection of the market's indecision, perched on the brink of a directional bias. While not in the overbought or oversold regions, the RSI's proximity to the 50 mark leaves room for a swing in either direction based on forthcoming market stimuli.

      The 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) stands at $1.3590, a beacon for the pair's short-term trajectory. Currently, the price’s position below the EMA leans towards a bearish outlook, yet the close margin allows for a quick shift should market sentiment change.

      Chart patterns have yet to signal a definitive trend, with the absence of a clear symmetrical triangle or upward channel formation. Such patterns could indicate potential bullish momentum, yet their absence leaves the future uncertain.

      In conclusion, the USD/CAD’s movement suggests a bearish tilt as long as the price action stays below the 1.3570 threshold. The near-term forecast will hinge on whether the pair can surpass this level, with resistance tests anticipated in the upcoming trading sessions.

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        USD/CAD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

        By LHFX Technical Analysis
        Nov 28, 2023
        Usdcad

        Daily Price Outlook

        - USD/CAD trades around 1.36, indicating a slight downtrend with a pivot point at 1.3569.

        - Bearish sentiment evidenced by RSI at 32 and trading below the 50 EMA at 1.3600.

        - The pair's trend remains bearish below 1.3643, with an expectation to test upper resistance levels soon.

        In the foreign exchange market, the USD/CAD pair exhibits a subtle yet notable shift in its recent trading pattern. As of today, the pair is trading at around 1.36, marking a slight decrease of 0.07%. This movement suggests a tempered bearish sentiment towards the US Dollar in comparison to the Canadian Dollar.

        From a technical standpoint, the pair is currently navigating through a series of key levels that could influence its short-term trajectory. The pivot point is set at 1.3569, which will play a critical role in determining the immediate directional bias. On the resistance front, USD/CAD faces hurdles at 1.3669, followed by higher resistance levels at 1.3740 and 1.3840. These points are crucial in testing the pair's potential to regain bullish momentum. Conversely, support levels are observed at 1.3495, with subsequent supports at 1.3393 and 1.3296, which could provide stability against further declines.

        The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for the pair is currently at 32, hovering near the oversold territory, but not quite there yet. This suggests that while bearish sentiment is present, the market is not in a state of extremity. Additionally, the pair is trading slightly below its 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of 1.3600, reinforcing the short-term bearish outlook.

        In conclusion, the overall trend for USD/CAD appears to be bearish, particularly if it remains below the 1.3643 level. The short-term forecast indicates that the pair may test its immediate resistance levels in the upcoming sessions. Market participants should closely monitor these technical levels and indicators, as they will be pivotal in shaping the USD/CAD pair's price movements in the near term.

         USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
         USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

        USD/CAD - Trade Idea 

        Entry Price – Sell Below 1.36435

        Take Profit – 1.35066

        Stop Loss – 1.37273

        Risk to Reward – 1: 1.6

        Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1369/ -$838

        Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$136/ -$83

        USD /CAD

        Technical Analysis

        USD/CAD Price Analysis – Nov 28, 2023

        By LHFX Technical Analysis
        Nov 28, 2023
        Usdcad

        Daily Price Outlook

        The USD/CAD currency pair continued its three-day downward trend, remaining below the level of 1.3600 during the European session on Tuesday. However, the reason for its decline can be attributed to the recovery in crude oil prices and risk-on market sentiment, providing support for the Canadian Dollar and contributing to losses in the USD/CAD currency pair. Moreover, the bearish bias in the US dollar was seen as another key factor keeping the USD/CAD currency pair lower.

        WTI Price Rebounds, Anticipation Builds for OPEC+ Meeting Impact on USD/CAD Pair

        It is worth noting that the Western Texas Intermediate (WTI) price has bounced back after a four-day dip, currently sitting around $75.30 per barrel. Moving on, investors attention is on the upcoming important OPEC+ meeting, with many expecting a decision to further cut and prolong oil production limits. Therefore, this rebound in WTI price is giving a boost to the Canadian Dollar and contributed to the losses in USD/CAD pair.

        US Dollar Index Hits Lowest Since August, Fueling USD/CAD Decline

        Furthermore, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has hit its lowest point since late August, reaching 103.07 on Tuesday. This decline is fueled by lower US Treasury yields, specifically the 2 and 10-year bond yields, currently at 4.87% and 4.40%. However, the US Dollar faces pressure as traders factor in an anticipated 85 basis points cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2024. The risk-on sentiment is reinforced by a US Census Bureau report, showing a significant 5.6% drop in New Home Sales for October, below the expected 725K. Therefore the bearish US dollar has played its major role in undermining the USD/CAD pair.

         USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
         USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

        USD/CAD - Technical Analysis

        In the foreign exchange market, the USD/CAD pair exhibits a subtle yet notable shift in its recent trading pattern. As of today, the pair is trading at around 1.36, marking a slight decrease of 0.07%. This movement suggests a tempered bearish sentiment towards the US Dollar in comparison to the Canadian Dollar.

        From a technical standpoint, the pair is currently navigating through a series of key levels that could influence its short-term trajectory. The pivot point is set at 1.3569, which will play a critical role in determining the immediate directional bias. On the resistance front, USD/CAD faces hurdles at 1.3669, followed by higher resistance levels at 1.3740 and 1.3840. These points are crucial in testing the pair's potential to regain bullish momentum. Conversely, support levels are observed at 1.3495, with subsequent supports at 1.3393 and 1.3296, which could provide stability against further declines.

        The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for the pair is currently at 32, hovering near the oversold territory, but not quite there yet. This suggests that while bearish sentiment is present, the market is not in a state of extremity. Additionally, the pair is trading slightly below its 50-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of 1.3600, reinforcing the short-term bearish outlook.

        In conclusion, the overall trend for USD/CAD appears to be bearish, particularly if it remains below the 1.3643 level. The short-term forecast indicates that the pair may test its immediate resistance levels in the upcoming sessions. Market participants should closely monitor these technical levels and indicators, as they will be pivotal in shaping the USD/CAD pair's price movements in the near term.

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          USD/CAD Price Analysis – Nov 21, 2023

          By LHFX Technical Analysis
          Nov 21, 2023
          Usdcad

          Daily Price Outlook

          During the European session on Tuesday, the USD/CAD currency pair struggled to stop its downward trend and remained well offered around the 1.3710 level. However, the decline in the pair can be attributed to a combination of factors. It should be noted that the Canadian Dollar gained upward momentum against the Greenback due to higher Crude Oil prices, exerting downward pressure on the USD/CAD pair. Meanwhile, the bearish trend in the US dollar, driven by a dovish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), was seen as another key factor contributing to the pair's decline.

          WTI Crude Oil Prices and OPEC Speculation Impact on CAD/USD Dynamics

          West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is trading at around $77.50 per barrel. However, the market is signaling the possibility that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) might choose for further oil production cuts in their upcoming meeting on November 26. Thus, this speculation is exerting a positive impact on the Canadian Dollar as the higher prices of crude oil boost the CAD price and kept the USD/CAD pair lower position.

          Potential Impact of Lower Inflation on Bank of Canada and USD/CAD Pair

          Furthermore, Canada is preparing for the release of its Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Tuesday. Analysts anticipate a year-on-year inflation rate for October to decrease to 3.2% from the previous 3.8%. If this happens, it could give the Bank of Canada (BoC) with some flexibility to maintain its overnight rate target at 5.0% in the upcoming December meeting. The central bank has explicitly stated that its rate decisions will be guided by economic indicators, and a lower inflation rate may align with their strategy to maintain stability.

          Therefore, the lower inflation rate in Canada will ease pressure on the Bank of Canada to raise interest rates. This could potentially weaken the Canadian Dollar against the US Dollar, impacting the USD/CAD pair.

          USD Faces Challenges Amidst Improved Risk Appetite and Fed Caution

          Apart from these indicators, the US Dollar is facing challenges due to the expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will take a more dovish approach. Last week's release of softer inflation figures, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) slowing to 3.2% (YoY) and core CPI dropping to 4.0% (YoY), has made investors rethink the chances of a rate hike in December. Some are even considering the possibility of rate cuts in 2024.

           USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
           USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

          USD/CAD - Technical Analysis

          As we delve into the technical stratum of the USD/CAD on November 21, we see the pair ebbing slightly by 0.1%, setting the currency at 1.37104. This minor retreat is set against a larger canvas where investors' vigilance is trained on the Bank of Canada's monetary policy direction and oil price fluctuations, which remain cardinal to the loonie's fortunes.

          At the helm of key price points, the USD/CAD grapples with a pivot point situated at 1.3633, suggesting a tentative balance in market forces. Resistance waits patiently at 1.3742, with subsequent battlements at 1.3824 and 1.3929, potentially halting any bullish advances. Support, on the contrary, gathers at 1.3551, with further reinforcements at 1.3443 and 1.3340, ready to cushion any southward drifts.

          The Relative Strength Index (RSI) rests at 44, nestled in a neutral zone, yet tiptoeing near the bearish territory, signaling a market in contemplation rather than conviction. The MACD, a mere hairbreadth above its signal, whispers the potential for momentum, albeit with a cautious undertone. The proximity of the price to the 50-day EMA at 1.3718 amplifies this sentiment of hesitation.

          An upward channel breakout, previously observed, now seems to question its own validity as the pair skirts below the crucial 1.3738 mark. This inflection point is now the fulcrum upon which the near-term market sentiment pivots.

          Conclusively, the technical prognosis for the USD/CAD is a cautious one, with a bearish undercurrent below 1.3738. As traders cast their nets wide for the upcoming sessions, the looming resistance at 1.3742 stands as a testament to the pair's resolve, while the currency's movements await further impetus from economic data and commodity price shifts.

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            USD/CAD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

            By LHFX Technical Analysis
            Nov 21, 2023
            Usdcad

            Daily Price Outlook

              As we delve into the technical stratum of the USD/CAD on November 21, we see the pair ebbing slightly by 0.1%, setting the currency at 1.37104. This minor retreat is set against a larger canvas where investors' vigilance is trained on the Bank of Canada's monetary policy direction and oil price fluctuations, which remain cardinal to the loonie's fortunes.

              At the helm of key price points, the USD/CAD grapples with a pivot point situated at 1.3633, suggesting a tentative balance in market forces. Resistance waits patiently at 1.3742, with subsequent battlements at 1.3824 and 1.3929, potentially halting any bullish advances. Support, on the contrary, gathers at 1.3551, with further reinforcements at 1.3443 and 1.3340, ready to cushion any southward drifts.

              The Relative Strength Index (RSI) rests at 44, nestled in a neutral zone, yet tiptoeing near the bearish territory, signaling a market in contemplation rather than conviction. The MACD, a mere hairbreadth above its signal, whispers the potential for momentum, albeit with a cautious undertone. The proximity of the price to the 50-day EMA at 1.3718 amplifies this sentiment of hesitation.

              An upward channel breakout, previously observed, now seems to question its own validity as the pair skirts below the crucial 1.3738 mark. This inflection point is now the fulcrum upon which the near-term market sentiment pivots.

              Conclusively, the technical prognosis for the USD/CAD is a cautious one, with a bearish undercurrent below 1.3738. As traders cast their nets wide for the upcoming sessions, the looming resistance at 1.3742 stands as a testament to the pair's resolve, while the currency's movements await further impetus from economic data and commodity price shifts.

               USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
               USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

              USD/CAD - Trade Idea 

              Entry Price – Sell Below 1.3725

              Take Profit – 1.36575

              Stop Loss – 1.37814

              Risk to Reward – 1: 1.2

              Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$683/ -$556

              Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$68/ -$55

              USD /CAD

              Daily Trade Ideas

              USD/CAD Price Analysis and Trade Forecast: Daily Trading Signal

              By LHFX Technical Analysis
              Nov 14, 2023
              Usdcad

              Daily Price Outlook

                As we sift through the nuances of the USD/CAD pair, a subtle yet steady ascent marks the currency's trajectory, with the current price gently nudging at 1.3809. The dance between the U.S. dollar and the Canadian counterpart unfolds under a relatively sanguine RSI reading of 55.23, suggesting an equilibrium where neither bulls nor bears hold decisive dominion.

                The chart's narrative unfolds between key price levels; the immediate resistance hovers at 1.3850, a breach of which could see the pair strive for the 1.3902 echelon. Conversely, the terrain beneath is shored up with support at 1.3784, a steadfast line that, if conceded, could see a descent towards the 1.3698 sanctuary.

                In this meticulous choreography of numbers, the MACD whispers hints of a bullish bias without committing to a pronounced trend. The pair's proximity above the 50 EMA at 1.3784 lends credence to a short-term bullish outlook, yet this is a tale of tentative optimism, not of unbridled ascent.

                The market's gaze now turns to forthcoming economic events, with each data release poised to serve as a catalyst that could either bolster the current sentiment or unravel it. Thus, the USD/CAD pair finds itself in a delicate interplay of technical indicators and fundamental forces, with traders keenly awaiting the next impetus that will determine the direction of its next decisive move.

                 USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
                 USD/CAD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

                USD/CAD - Trade Idea 

                Entry Price – Buy Above 1.37803

                Take Profit – 1.39012

                Stop Loss – 1.37143

                Risk to Reward – 1: 1.8

                Profit & Loss Per Standard Lot = +$1209/ -$660

                Profit & Loss Per Mini Lot = +$120/ -$66

                USD /CAD